FPL Game Week 7 - Top Picks To Buy & Sell

FPL Game Week 7 - Top Picks To Buy & Sell

WHO TO BUY!

Héctor Bellerín – Defender, Arsenal £5.9

Last week I talked about his team mate Kolasinac, but Bellerín was the guy who took home the bonus points. With 3 clean sheets in a row, Arsenal look solid at the back and the next 4 fixtures look very healthy where clean sheets and attacking returns may be on offer.

The thing that sets Bellerín apart from his colleagues is that he's leading Arsenal defenders in shots inside the area and chances created where he has 7 through the season. He's also scored in the Europa League and I'd be amazed if he didn't have any attacking returns over the coming weeks.

The thing that sets Bellerín apart from his colleagues is that he's leading Arsenal defenders in shots inside the area and chances created where he has 7 through the season

 

Aaron Cresswell – Defender, West Ham £5.0

If I told you that the man leading the league in crosses and is on corners and free kicks for only £5.0, you'd all be itching to get him into your midfield. But the man in question is West Ham wing back Aaron Cresswell.. People are so stuck in the mindset of 3-4-3 where they would rather play £4.5/£5.0 midfielders who other nothing over a defender who has the upside of clean sheets as well as someone who will get assists particularly when they have a target like Andy Carroll to hit.

West Ham have good fixtures coming up and it would not shock me if Cresswell gets a couple of double digit hauls in his next 7 games despite is insanely low 0.7% ownership.

If I told you that the man leading the league in crosses and is on corners and free kicks for only £5.0, you'd all be itching to get him into your midfield...

 

Kieran Gibbs – Defender, West Brom £5.0

Another man who is seemingly on corners is West Brom's new signing Kieran Gibbs. West Brom have a good defence this season lying 5th lowest in xGA (expected goals against) and although their fixtures aren't as good as the first 5 weeks, they aren't atrocious and definitely have clean sheet potential.

West Brom may also be moving to the wing back system which could help Gibbs get forward and also means 3 centre backs will be on the pitch for Gibbs to hit from set pieces.

West Brom have a good defence this season lying 5th lowest in xGA (expected goals against)

 

Fraser Forster - Goal Keeper, Southampton £5.0

If you look at Forster's next 5 fixtures it's a sea of green. Stoke, Newcastle, West Brom, Brighton and Burnley are Southampton's next fixtures which has incredible clean sheet upside particularly with the return of Van Dijk to the team. Forster himself also looks to be in better form this season, with a save to goal ratio of 4.75 which is unsustainably high and from a small sample size but is certainly a positive sign.

Last season Forster only had a save to goal ratio of 1.85 which is very poor, but the previous two seasons combined it was 2.97 which is insanely good For context, Tom Heaton last season had a save to goal ratio of 2.96 where he was the number 1 keeper getting 21 bonus points. With Southampton not looking great going forward, Forster may be able to get more bonus points as well.

If you look at Forster's next 5 fixtures it's a sea of green...

 

Raheem Sterling – Midfielder, Manchester City £7.8

I'm furious with myself for excluding him from my buy list last week, I had the section written up but wasn't sure he would find consistent minutes to score enough. Since last week's article, he's signed a new contract which suggests Pep and Man City rate him, and scored 3 goals including 2 in the premier league against Crystal Palace. Excluding game week 1 where he played 12 minutes and the game he was suspended, Sterling has scored 8 points a game, which includes a -3 from a red card. His score doesn't even strike me as particularly fluky as he has 17 shots and 12 inside the area along with 4 chances created. He will be rotated, that is a certainty with Man City, but even without playing every minute he will play enough and score goals in the best attacking team in the league whilst coming at an incredibly affordable price. His fixture against Chelsea isn't appealing, but after the international break Manchester City have a gorgeous schedule.

he's signed a new contract which suggests Pep and Man City rate him, and scored 3 goals including 2 in the premier league against Crystal Palace



WHO TO SELL

Zanka – Defender Huddersfield £4.6

Huddersfield might be the surprise of the season keeping 4 clean sheets in their opening 6 games. But this week they face Tottenham and the bookies only give them a 15% chance of a clean sheet. It's not just this week, their fixture list is beyond brutal facing Manchester United and Liverpool imminently as well. With next to zero chance of attacking returns I'm not sure how you can justify holding any Huddersfield assets.

This week they face Tottenham and the bookies only give them a 15% chance of a clean sheet. It's not just this week, their fixture list is beyond brutal

 

Ben Mee – Defender, Burnley £4.5

People seem pretty high on the Burnley defence and are keen to bring in a piece of that defence. But Burnley have the most shots conceded of any team in the league with 20.3 shots allowed per game. Considering the perceived worst team in the league Crystal Palace have only allowed 13.5 shots, this number seems awfully high even without factoring in the xontexts of those shots. Although their fixtures aren't difficult, I wouldn't consider them easy and they have been given a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet against Everton by the bookies.

Even though Mee does have goal potential, the majority of points for defenders comes from clean sheets and I think Burnley will let down a lot of fantasy managers in that regard.

Burnley have the most shots conceded of any team in the league with 20.3 shots allowed per game

 

Gabriel Jesus – Forward, Manchester City £10.4

Let's end by making an absolutely absurd bold prediction that will make all readers vomit in disgust. Raheem Sterling will outscore Gabriel Jesus this season. It's obviously an outrageous claim to make but it seems Jesus and Sterling will get the same amount of minutes and I genuinely believe it could happen. Sterling and Jesus are tied with 12 with shots inside the area but Sterling leads in total shots and Sterling has 4 chances created compared to Jesus' 2 all whilst Sterling has played less minutes.

I may be wildly wrong with this prediction but with Morata for the same price and Aguero being by far the better option in City's attack, Jesus is difficult to fit in any team.

Raheem Sterling will outscore Gabriel Jesus this season

 


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Fantasy Football, 2017/18,

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